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When Steven
Weinberg was laid off in November, he decided not to fritter away
his savings on a job search he assumed would be fruitless.
Instead, he decided to go to law school — a career move he made
in large part because so few employers are hiring.
"I realized there are no jobs out there, and I needed to go back
to school," says Weinberg, 32, of Chicago, who was laid off from
a firm that helped Japanese companies do business in the USA. "A
big part of the reason for this is how hard the job market is."
A growing number of white-collar workers and other job seekers
are so discouraged that they're giving up. Instead of looking for
work, they're living off severance or buyout packages, moving back
in with Mom and Dad or relying on a spouse's income to get by. They're
gray-haired managers who are going back to school and working mothers
who are becoming stay-at-home moms after being laid off.
Some disheartened job seekers are making money on e-Bay, selling
their poetry or doing odd jobs for neighbors instead of sending
out more résumés.
About 4.7 million Americans want jobs but are not looking for work,
up from 4.6 million in January of 2003, according to the Department
of Labor. There are a variety of reasons they may be unable to look
for work. They may be unable to job hunt because they don't have
a car or can't find child care.
But some aren't looking because they believe there are no jobs
out there: More than 400,000 workers are so discouraged by the job
market that they've given up looking for work. More and more workers
are jumping out of the game. The January labor force participation
rate was 66.1%, up slightly from a 12-year low in December when
66% of working age people were working or seeking work.
While some are trying to develop new skills or make career changes,
others are so demoralized that they're doing nothing.
"They're watching soap operas and drinking beer. It's living hell,"
says Damian Birkel, a career counselor who founded Professionals
in Transition Support Group, which holds support meetings for unemployed
workers in Winston-Salem and Greensboro, N.C. "The discouraged worker
is beaten down by the weight of rejection. Their money is running
out, their self-esteem is at an all-time low."
The unemployment rate dipped to 5.6% in January, and December marked
the lowest unemployment rate in 14 months. But some economists don't
believe the decline is good news. Rather, they say, the rise in
discouraged job seekers is what's driving down the jobless rate.
"They've gotten out of the game," says Jared Bernstein, an economist
for the Economic Policy Institute. "It's a major factor behind the
unemployment rate, which fell not because people found work, but
the contrary: They left the labor force because of a perceived lack
of jobs."
Odd jobs or back to school
After nearly two years of looking for work, Edward Chase is poised
to give up his hunt.
He graduated at the top of his class from Duke University's business
school, but he can't seem to find a management job in the construction
field. So, instead of continuing to look for permanent work in his
field, he's planning to take odd jobs, doing whatever he can to
earn some money until the job market improves.
"For the last week, I've just been staring out the window," says
Chase, 56, of Greensboro, whose contract job in construction management
ended in June 2002. He's sold his home, his wife has divorced him,
and he's been on anti-depressants.
"Everything is gone. I've spent my retirement. It's all gone."
School is one of the options Cliff Losak is considering. After
10 months of fruitless job hunting, Losak is on the verge of giving
up. He was laid off in March 2003 from his job as a facilities manager,
and despite roughly a dozen interviews, he hasn't gotten a job offer.
As a facilities manager, he oversaw such responsibilities as office
machinery, mail distribution and shipping and receiving.
"Work in my field isn't happening," says Losak, 51, of Teaneck,
N.J., "so I decided maybe I should look at a different avenue."
Starting this month, Losak began taking courses in multimedia design
at Chubb Institute, and, if he likes it, he'll continue with a 10-month
course and a career change — leaving behind his job search. His
wife, Amy, works in public relations and can support them.
"I've got to be practical. My back's up against a wall. What else
am I going to do?" Losak says.
Discouraged workers such as Losak cut across all occupations and
ages. Some of those hardest hit are in their prime earning years:
ages 25 to 34. Nearly three out of five are men, according to 2003
annual average data from the government. And while more than half
are white, other racial groups are feeling the strain. According
to government data for 2003, about a quarter of those people who
are not in the labor force because they're discouraged are black.
Compared with previous economic downturns, more of the discouraged
job seekers today are employed in sectors such as information technology
or manufacturing, and more have college educations, according to
economist Bernstein. And a large number are going back to school.
They are also more likely to be people whose families aren't dependent
upon their incomes to survive.
"We get an increase in people going to college in all recessions,"
says Anthony Carnevale, vice president at Educational Testing Services,
a provider of graduate school test information. "You don't want
to go back to work when it's a bad economy."
But dropping out is a gamble. Patti Wilson, a career coach in Los
Gatos, Calif., who founded Careercompany.com, says workers who are
holding out for a better opportunity may be in for a long wait.
"It's not going to get any better," Wilson says. "There is more
and more competition for jobs. Jobs are moving overseas."
Some of these labor force dropouts had ridden the tech wave. They've
helped build companies, held executive titles, hired and fired their
own employees. Some now balk at taking jobs that require a step
down the career or salary ladder. No job, they say, is better than
backsliding.
Some have taken early retirement or buyouts with plans to find
another job — only to find there's no other work out there.
Dealing with a rough transition
Still others are taking public assistance for the first time or
living off of loans from family and friends. It can be a rough transition.
Karen Taylor-McMillan, 45, was a grant writer for a non-profit
organization. After a divorce, she moved from Garden City, Kan.,
to San Pedro, Calif., to be closer to her family. The job she thought
she'd have didn't pan out. She thought she'd have no problem finding
another job.
"I was very wrong," says Taylor-McMillan, a mother of two daughters,
Alice, 15, and Bridget, 13. "I had a stack of rejection postcards.
The competition was just fierce."
Discouraged by the job hunt, she decided to go back to school,
studying at The Art Institute of California-Orange County in Santa
Ana, Calif., to become a chef. She's also getting public assistance.
"Not having a paycheck is very difficult, but you learn what's
really important in life," she says. "I spend more time with my
kids. We do our homework together."
Lengthy job searches
The rise in discouraged job seekers is coming in part because the
search for work is taking so long. The average job search for unemployed
workers was 19.8 weeks in January, up from 18.5 weeks in January
2003. Like those who are simply quitting their job search, many
long-term unemployed are midcareer workers over 45 years old, college
graduates and executive and managerial employees.
Nearly a quarter of unemployed workers have been looking for 27
weeks or more.
Some economists and labor market watchers believe the first sign
of a recovery will be an increase in the unemployment rate — a sign
that disillusioned job seekers who'd quit the labor force are coming
back in.
"Some of these people taking time off say, 'I deserve a break,'
" says John Challenger of outplacement firm Challenger Gray & Christmas.
"Others are rejected so often they abandon the search. There's a
lot of talented people who are sitting on the sidelines."
People like Susan Romano. In November 2002, she lost her job as
a marketing manager at Sun Microsystems in Colorado. She maintained
her job search throughout 2003 with scant luck, and now she has
given up looking altogether.
"I am not currently looking due to the dismal job situation in
high-tech in Colorado. I am living off of severance and savings,"
says Romano, 50, of Boulder. "I'm single, and my unemployment benefits
ran out last year."
But she's put her jobless experience to work. Romano self-published
a booklet of haiku: The Nature of Unemployment, and about 40 have
sold at craft shows and local bookstores.
One of her favorites:
Withdraw from savings
Maybe I've retired but
just don't know it.
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